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Ashley J Tellis Free eBooks (1)

ISBN: 0833027743, 9780833027740
Author: Ashley J. Tellis
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: deterrent, ready, arsenal, recessed, posture, emerging, nuclear, india
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

On May 11, 1998, after a hiatus of more than two decades, India conducted a series of nuclear tests that signaled a critical shift in its strategic thinking.Once content to embrace a nuclear posture consisting largely of maintaining the option — i.e., neither creating a nuclear arsenal nor renouncing its right to do so — India is now on the threshold of adopting a posture that, while s......
ISBN: 0833024949, 9780833024947
Author: Ashley J. Tellis
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: asia, south, stability
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

The most likely setting for the world's first nuclear war, observers generally agree, is South Asia, where India and Pakistan harbor small, undeclared nuclear arsenals and deep, often-declared mutual animosity. Chartered to determine whether and how the tense stability that now marks India-Pakistan relations might break down, this project identifies several paths to conventional and perhaps nuclea......
ISBN: 083302373X, 9780833023735
Authors: Ian O. Lesser, Ashley J. Tellis
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: mediterranean, proliferation, exposure, strategic
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

The proliferation of weapons of mass destruction — nuclear, chemical and biological — and the means for their delivery at ever longer ranges has emerged as a leading issue in the post-Cold War debate about international security and as a prominent concern of U.S. policymakers and Army planners. Nowhere are the effects of proliferation trends felt more keenly than around the Mediterrane......
ISBN: 0833028154, 9780833028150
Authors: Michael D. Swaine, Ashley J. Tellis
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: present, future, past, strategy, china, grand, interpreting
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

China's continuing rapid economic growth and expanding involvement in global affairs pose major implications for the power structure of the international system. To more accurately and fully assess the significance of China's emergence for the United States and the global community, it is necessary to gain a more complete understanding of Chinese security thought and behavior. This study addresses......
ISBN: 0833031015, 9780833031013
Authors: Ashley J. Tellis, C. Christine Fair, Jamison Jo Medby
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: lessons, kargil, crisis, pakistani, indian, conflicts, nuclear, umbrella, limited
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

This report examines the views of India and Pakistan on the significance of Pakistan's foray into the Kargil-Dras sector in a limited war that has come to be known as the Kargil conflict. The goal of the analysis is to assess both combatants' perceptions of the crisis, with a view to evaluating the possibilities of future Kargil-like events and the implications of the lessons each country learned ......
ISBN: 0833024957, 9780833024954
Authors: Ashley J. Tellis, Thomas S. Szayna, James A. Winnefeld
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: conflict, ethnic, anticipating
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

This report provides a practical tool — a guidebook and a methodology to follow — to help intelligence analysts determine the long-term potential for communitarian and ethnic conflict. It is based on a conceptual model of group conflict. The three-stage model traces the development of ethnic and communitarian strife, beginning with the conditions that may lead to the formation of an et......
ISBN: 0833027921, 9780833027924
Authors: Ashley J. Tellis, Janice Bially, Christopher Layne, Melissa Mcpherson
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: postindustrial, power, national, measuring
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

The arrival of postindustrial society has transformed the traditional bases ofnational power, and thus the methods used to measure the relative power of nations should be reassessed as well. Appreciating the true basis of national power requires not merely a meticulous detailing of visible military assets but also a scrutiny of larger capabilities embodied in such variables as the aptitude for inn......
ISBN: 0833028030, 9780833028037
Authors: Ashley J. Tellis, Janice Bially, Christopher Layne, Melissa Mcpherson, Jerry M. Sollinger
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: analyst, handbook, postindustrial, power, national, measuring
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

This handbook is designed to complement the main report (RAND/MR-1110-A). It is intended to provide the analyst the substance of the concepts and metrics for assessing national power without presenting extensive background or the analytic underpinning contained in the main document.......
ISBN: 0833028960, 9780833028969
Authors: Jasen J. Castillo, Julia F. Lowell, Ashley J. Tellis, Jorge A. Munoz, Benjamin Zycher
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: growth, economic, expenditures, military
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

This study explores the historical relationship between economic growth and military expenditures in five great power countries:Germany, France,Russia, Japan, and the United States.Using statistical and case-studymethodologies, the authors examine how each country's military expenditures responded to increases in economic output levels and in economic growth during the period 1870-1939, and they o......
ISBN: 0833016474, 9780833016478
Authors: Thomas S. Szayna, Graham Fuller, Robert Howe, Brian Nichiporuk, K. Jack Riley, Ashley J. Tellis, James A. Winnefeld
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: war, era, supplemental, materials, cold, post, intrastate, conflict, implications, army, intervention
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

The Arroyo Center conducted a study aimed at helping the Army identify the issues and some of the answers associated with the currents and changes in intrastate conflict in the wake of the Cold War. This report is the supplemental volume to the main report of the study, MR-554/1-A. The bulk of it is devoted to describing six speculative "case studies," drawn from a global survey of actual and pote......
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