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Uncertain Free eBooks (1)

ISBN: 0309128536, 9780309128537
Authors: Committee On The Evaluation Of Quantification Of Margins, Uncertainties Methodology For Assessing, Certifying The Reliability Of The Nuclear Stockpile, National Research Council
Source: www.nap.edu
Keywords: certifying, reliability, nuclear, stockpile, assessing, methodology, quantification, margins, uncertainties, evaluation
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

Maintaining the capabilities of the nuclear weapons stockpile and performing the annual assessment for the stockpile's certification involves a wide range of processes, technologies, and expertise. An important and valuable framework helping to link those components is the quantification of margins and uncertainties (QMU) methodology. In this book, the National Research Council evaluates: how th......
ISBN: 0833014749, 9780833014740
Author: Willard Naslund
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: uncertainty, organizing, power, air, nato
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

In the future, NATO forces must be prepared to respond quickly to events in regions within and beyond its borders. This research addresses how this requirement will affect the organization of NATO forces, particularly airpower, by postulating two scenarios that would stress NATO to the extreme: (1) an attack by Russia on Poland, and (2) a Syria-Iraq attack on Turkey. The author uses these scenario......
ISBN: 0833003542, 9780833003546
Author: Benjamin S. Lambeth
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: war, deliberations, soviet, uncertainty, risk
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

Surveys the elements of risk, uncertainty, and unpredictability that might moderate Soviet behavior and undermine the confidence with which Soviet decisionmakers would consider entering into a major military engagement with the United States.Although the report does not question the substantial threat implications of Soviet force improvements that have been under way in recent years, it does descr......
Authors: Adeline Delavande, Susann Rohwedder
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: benefits, portfolio, choice, security, social, uncertainty, future, individuals
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

Little is known about the degree to which individuals are uncertain about their future Social Security benefits, how this varies within the U.S. population, and whether this uncertainty influences financial decisions related to retirement planning. To illuminate these issues, the authors present empirical evidence from the Health and Retirement Study Internet Survey and document systematic variati......
Author: Bruce W. Bennett
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: war, nuclear, limited, uncertainties, fatality
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

Presents counterarguments to the article "Limited Nuclear War," by S. D. Drell and F. von Hippel, [Scientific American], November 1976.The article concludes that any Soviet limited counterforce attack, if strategically effective, would inflict very high fatality levels; and because the USSR is not pondering such attacks, the United States should not inflame the situation by building up flexible co......
ISBN: 0833017403, 9780833017406
Author: James K. Hammitt
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: parameters, stratospheric, ozone, depletion, input, uncertain, probability, based, scenarios, subjective
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

Risk analysis often depends on complex, computer-based models to describe links between policies (e.g., required emission-control equipment) and consequences (e.g., probabilities of adverse health effects). Appropriate specification of many model aspects is uncertain, including details of the model structure; transport, reaction rate, and other parameters; and application specific inputs such as p......
Author: Peter A. Morrison
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: social, security, subcommittee, income, maintenance, programs, senate, testimony, future, certainties, demographic, uncertainties
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

This testimony describes demographic changes that will affect Social Security financing over the long term:the aging of the population (that is, the rise in the fraction of elderly people) from now into the next century; the shift of wives into paid work outside the home; lengthening of life expectancy; changes in the average retirement age; and uncertainties about future immigration.The following......
ISBN: 9290903627, 9789290903628
Author: C. J. Perry
Source: www.ebookdb.org
Keywords: irrigation, supplies, uncertain, rationed, response, farmer
Formats: Read Online And/Or Other Formats
Copyrights: General Copyright

Publisher: IWMIPublished Time: IWMIPages: 23Describes the use of satellite remote sensing and geographic information system techniques to obtain information on primary agricultural productivity and irrigation system performance in a large rice irrigation system in India. Discusses the potential and cost-effectiveness of SRS techniques for making inventories and monitoring agricultural productivity......
Author: Paul K. Davis
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: uncertainty, era, planning, security, national
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

This paper was developed for a conference, Conventional Forces and Arms Control: Technology and Strategy in a Changing World, organized by the Center for National Security Studies at the Los Alamos National Laboratory, and held September 25-26, 1989. The author describes an approach to national security strategy that begins by characterizing the future environment in terms of a core part and surro......
ISBN: 0833012010, 9780833012012
Authors: Irv K. Cohen, John Abell, Thomas F. Lippiatt
Source: www.rand.org
Keywords: threat, clout, overview, uncertainty, meet, logistics, operations, coupling
Formats:PDF
Copyrights: Copyrighted

Uncertainty is of essentially two kinds: statistical uncertainty (variability observed in repeatable phenomena), and state-of-the-world uncertainty (uncertainty about phenomena that are not repeatable, not observed or observable, or both). State-of-the-world uncertainty dominates the wartime scenario and affects peacetime planning as well. This report describes a set of initiatives called CLOUT (c......
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